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The Greatest Losses — After The Issue Is Already Settled

by Sebastian on 5 February 2012

At the same time, this is an issue both terrible and important to think about.

B.H. Liddel Hart, in “Scipio Africanus,” notes that the majority of causalities, fatalities, and damage don’t occur during conflict, but afterwards — to the losing side.

From Hannibal’s defeat at The Battle of Zama -

“…the loss of the Carthaginians and their allies [was] twenty thousand slain and almost as many captured. On the other side, [the estimates range from "1500 Romans" to "2000 of the victors."] The discrepancy is explained by the word “Romans,” for Livy’s total clearly includes the allied troops. It is a common idea among historians that these figures are an underestimate, and that in ancient battles the tallies given always minimise the losses of the victor. Ardant du Picq, a profound and experienced thinker, has shown the fallacy of these cloistered historians. Even in battle to-day the defeated side suffers its heaviest loss after the issue is decided, in what is practically the massacre of unresisting or disorganised men. How much more must this disproportion have occured when bullets, still less machine-guns, did not exist to take their initial toll of the victors. So long as formations remained unbroken the loss of life was relatively small, but when they were isolated or dissolved the massacre began.

Could there more mercy, more clemency? Well, we would hope so, but then there’s the faction/negotiation/diplomacy problem… when the defeated surrender, they only represent one faction who is at possibly the lowest point, most conducive to surrender. Later on, once cleaned-up and re-armed, the war-hawking faction will return, and if the opponent’s forces are not reduced in defeat, they will likely be re-deployed and battle will began anew.

This is a terrible thing to consider, perhaps one of those hard parts of human nature, and one of the most difficult aspects of command. You must consolidate your victories and finally remove the opposition’s strength and material, but seems such a damn waste that all the carnage has to happen after the issue is decided. And yet, the faction/negotiation/diplomacy problem persists, which causes this, and it’s human nature at its core.

Terrible stuff. I suppose “Don’t lose” is too obvious of a lesson to write, so we’ll refrain from saying that.

{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

DavidC February 5, 2012 at 5:54 am

“Terrible stuff. I suppose “Don’t lose” is too obvious of a lesson to write, so we’ll refrain from saying that.”

Doesn’t sound so good for the winners either.

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Gerard February 5, 2012 at 9:02 pm

Dave Grossman in his book “On killing” bring forward a few explanation as for why it is always after the issue is settled that most casualties occurs, but his explanation are not tactical, i.e avoid having to fight the same army again, his are more psychological like the chase instinct of the predator or the ease of killing an enemy from behind has he is faceless, the release of tension, the blood lust of battle…

a great example that illustrate this point are the armies of Alexandre who, during all their years of warfare, lost fewer than 700 men “to the sword”. They suffered so few casualties because they never lost a battle and never had to suffer the very significant losses associated with being pursued by a victorious enemy

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Hotshotgg February 5, 2012 at 10:41 pm

“the only winning move is not to play” – JOSHUA, War-games (1983 movie)

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